Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 13.373523 15.266220 17.292689 19.619323 22.212134 25.008061 28.246345
2024-10-27 10.086952 12.525481 15.324522 18.758096 22.838429 27.513447 33.255075
2024-11-03 8.517268 11.409404 14.941360 19.531966 25.296152 32.246238 41.206589
2024-11-10 7.692081 11.036593 15.354296 21.259597 29.037108 38.832184 51.987111
2024-11-17 6.743635 10.337322 15.228988 22.247132 31.907425 44.566737 62.206101
2024-11-24 5.671989 9.285427 14.467092 22.254286 33.435166 48.646975 70.584235
2024-12-01 4.659464 8.144864 13.406864 21.680003 34.049762 51.488409 77.461736
2024-12-08 3.960124 7.363507 12.754304 21.589363 35.294413 55.242601 85.818713
2024-12-15 3.471369 6.838304 12.413677 21.904809 37.125260 59.921160 95.762864
2024-12-22 2.975753 6.215098 11.823879 21.738247 38.164472 63.458758 104.216502
2024-12-29 2.763729 6.066189 12.003024 22.831412 41.260746 70.290674 118.008482
2025-01-05 2.444899 5.660226 11.676115 23.017053 42.867894 74.880299 128.589758
2025-01-12 2.038630 5.021037 10.863635 22.299318 42.958280 77.159198 135.858788
2025-01-19 1.679977 4.411182 10.019376 21.420911 42.679166 78.799137 142.193903
2025-01-26 1.558262 4.299601 10.135546 22.346968 45.662637 86.054504 158.132172
2025-02-02 1.544153 4.434609 10.768515 24.328685 50.709064 97.110490 180.989880
2025-02-09 1.452953 4.367826 10.968134 25.467151 54.270565 105.797425 200.284599
2025-02-16 1.284298 4.074347 10.638624 25.494620 55.725212 110.858487 213.615739
2025-02-23 1.092971 3.679846 10.026531 24.861194 55.837767 113.505874 222.857046
2025-03-02 0.961934 3.420657 9.687438 24.767590 56.991613 118.087747 235.716850
2025-03-09 0.872971 3.262240 9.564545 25.128516 59.072196 124.470990 252.074097
2025-03-16 0.766709 3.027055 9.218101 24.944710 60.007581 128.738216 264.767468
2025-03-23 0.737474 3.028713 9.474747 26.178274 63.999283 139.034037 289.018424